The ISM PMI is still the one macro signal holding out on us. It was supposed to break above 50 last month flipping from contraction to expansion. But instead slipped to 48 as businesses pulled back on new orders. That could be the missing confirmation for a full bull phase. Rates and the dollar are likely to ease into year end, which could finally push the ISM higher. And with $BTC dominance starting to break down and $ETH holding over $4K that shift could be the point where the rally stops feeling early and starts feeling inevitable.
Milk Road
Milk Road7.7.2025
The ISM PMI is right on the edge of expansion territory Historically, when ISM climbs back above 50, we enter the “banana zone” A period where markets often shift from choppy to trending bullish We’re not quite there yet, but the setup looks promising And remember: ISM is just one piece of the puzzle Global liquidity trends could turbocharge (or derail) any recovery from here
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