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Prediction:
A Zohran Mamdani win in NYC this fall will lead to two things:
1) Vance winning in 2028
2) A Republican Mayor winning NYC in 2029
As odd as this sounds, I am starting to see the silver lining of a Mamdani win.
Will New Yorkers feel the pain for four years? Yes.
Will NY become less safe? Yes
Will tons of capital flee the city? Yes.
Will this be a much-needed wake-up call? Yes
Already, NYC is close to the ability to elect a Republican Mayor.
37% of New Yorkers voted for Trump.
Frankly, I think if Sliwa were to swap out with someone experienced, we could watch the Dem vote get split three ways, and usher in a R-win.
I believe this is still possible, but I doubt Sliwa will do it unless there are very unusual circumstances (e.g., Trump calls him and offers him a job in DC).
So - we are stuck with Sliwa, who has no business leading the city... (Sorry, Curtis).
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