I've only used Polymarket once, and it was the '24 election where how the market resolved for that outcome was mostly binary and non subjective People have yet to understand the odds you are (actually) betting is not what are shown in Yes/No, but are multiplicative on the % chance oracle powers-that-be try to screw with you and opportunistically steal your money I really do believe prediction markets have pmf, but this version of polymarket isn't it. I have already told ppl privately never to bet on any subjective outcomes for this reason alone -- not worth the stress & you likely underweight the chance of having to sweat BS/grift similar to what's shown below in this tweet
dp.hl
dp.hl3.7.2025
Do you have anything to say about this? @Polymarket @UMAprotocol @shayne_coplan @hal2001
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