"The White House prepares for Trump to nominate US CEA Chair Miran to the Fed board. Miran is expected to fill the Fed seat for a short term," per Bloomberg
Thanks to @mercatus and @DavidBeckworth (host of the must listen Macromusings podcast) for hosting a great conference on monetary policy.
Great panelists including @Stellar_Consult and got to meet my favorite Fed Governor.
If everything is fine, then don’t change anything at all.
But when the financial system isn’t working for so many people in the UK, it needs to be updated.
A continuing commitment to keep coupon sizes unchanged would slowly shorten Treasury's WAM as the fiscal deficit grows faster than net coupon issuance and is financed by bills. The price is higher short rates and a larger fiscal impact from fed policy.
Fed sets the overnight risk free rate by willing to borrow at the RRP rate. Short rates are then priced off the expected path of that rate. That is why the two year Treasury yield is roughly the market's expectation of Fed policy. Note how 2y swap rate and 2y yield move together