Having RFK Jr. as HHS secretary is one of the ~2-3 worst things about Trump 2.0 so far, great job by Susan Collins et. al.

You really don't need to get to the airport 2 hours early. At least, not most of the time. If you like airports, that's cool, airports are kind of nice now! Just own up to it.

One of the worst tendencies in online argumentation is to undermine a basically persuasive central argument by also raising a lot of dubious secondary arguments. It's not only overkill, it's a net negative.

Sunday newsletter for you on the jobs numbers and Trump firing the BLS commissioner. I'd call it a 🔥hot take🔥, but it's not really. Instead, a fairly deep dive into these numbers, why the economy is slowing down, and how Trump is only likely to make the situation worse.

If you think you can create better jobs numbers than the BLS then great, probably harder than you think but if you can, you can make a shitload doing macro trading and absolutely nothing is stopping you.

Sure looks to me like there's been a slowdown since we started implementing the tariffs that Oren has been so thirsty for. Average of 182K jobs created a month from Jan. 2023 through Apr. 2025. Since Liberation Day, just 35K jobs per month.

The thing about Peak Woke circa ~2019-2021 is that for every person who really believed in it, there were probably 3-4x as many who sort of nodded along because of peer pressure, didn't want to on the wrong side of history, etc. That latter group likely has some immunity.

Some early results from the NFL model we're working on: the best QBs of all time based on stats since 1960. Montana/Young best on an efficiency basis vs. league conditions and strength of opposing defenses, but some obvious names had more longevity and therefore overall value.

15. 76ers 14. Celtics 13. Lakers* 12. ??? * I actually disagreed with this one!

Wanna make a bet on how many copies it will sell?